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These ZIP codes are growing fastest for confirmed COVID-19 cases this week (updated weekly)

Updated April 29| What’s new this week:

The rate of confirmed cases in Wake County dropped in the last week to 201 cases per 100,000 people from 241/100,000 people. This rate is a rolling 14-day average.

The median growth for Wake County ZIP codes decreased to 1.6% week-over-week growth, a low point recently twice before. Last week it was 1.7%.

Raleigh Convergence has analyzed the state’s ZIP code level data for Wake County for the last 51 weeks. [support our work!]

The percent of tests that are positive in Wake County is slightly above goal level for the fifth week at 5.3% down from 5.6%. This number is a rolling 14-day average. The statewide percentage is at 4.5%. Officials say 5% or lower is the goal level.

Hospitalizations is another number to watch, an increasing number statewide. In the region that includes Wake County, Franklin, Harnett, Johnston and Lee counties, 92 people are hospitalized as of Thursday, up from 86 last Thursday.

Congregate living facilities in Wake County: 8, up one outbreak.

Clusters in Wake County at K-12 or childcare settings: 6, the same as last week.

The ZIP code that grew fastest this week, comparing this week’s (Wednesday-Wednesday) new confirmed cases to its total, is 27606 RALEIGH, at 3%.

27610 RALEIGH is the highest ZIP code for numerical case growth this week, adding +159 cases to a new 8,447 total. It’s also the highest total.

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The largest growth in cases this week:

Comparing Wednesday’s confirmed case numbers with April 21’s state numbers, the ZIP codes in Wake County with the 10 highest weekly case growth as a percentage of its total cases are:

  1. 27606 RALEIGH, with a 3% growth this week compared to its previous total number of cases. +98 confirmed cases, 3,406 confirmed cases in total.
  2. 27597 ZEBULON, with a 2.2% increase. +98 cases, 3,406 confirmed cases total.
  3. 27560 MORRISVILLE, 2.12% increase. +38 cases, 1,833 confirmed cases total.
  4. 27615 RALEIGH, 2.1% increase. +67 cases, 3,251 confirmed cases total.
  5. 27523 APEX, 2.04% increase. +15 cases, 749 confirmed cases total.
  6. 27545 KNIGHTDALE, 2.03% increase. +63 cases, 3,163 confirmed cases total.
  7. 27617 RALEIGH, 1.98% increase. +28 cases, 1,442 confirmed cases total.
  8. 27526 FUQUAY VARINA, 1.97% increase. +76 cases, 3,926 confirmed cases total.
  9. 27591 WENDELL, 1.93% increase. +45 cases, 2,382 confirmed cases total.
  10. 27610 RALEIGH, 1.92% increase. +159 cases, 8,447 confirmed cases total.

The median (17th) percentage increase this week is 1.6%, down from last week’s 1.7%. The previous weeks’ median numbers were 2.1% and 1.6%.

Note: Percentages rounded to the first decimal place unless an adjacent increase is closer.

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Most cases of COVID-19 in the Raleigh area by ZIP code:

See the 33 ZIP codes in Wake County, organized from most confirmed case counts to fewest. The total lab-confirmed case counts are in light green, deaths are in dark green: (also listed below)

27610 RALEIGH8,44776
27587 WAKE FOREST6,49048
27616 RALEIGH5,54130
27529 GARNER4,87666
27603 RALEIGH4,73035
27604 RALEIGH4,32448
27526 FUQUAY VARINA3,92649
27606 RALEIGH3,40612
27615 RALEIGH3,25149
27545 KNIGHTDALE3,16338
27609 RALEIGH3,11626
27613 RALEIGH2,89812
27612 RALEIGH2,86237
27597 ZEBULON2,70520
27540 HOLLY SPRINGS2,6427
27519 CARY2,6029
27614 RALEIGH2,55721
27502 APEX2,4419
27591 WENDELL2,38225
27513 CARY2,36124
27607 RALEIGH2,1039
27511 CARY2,06726
27560 MORRISVILLE1,83312
27539 APEX1,4796
27617 RALEIGH1,4424
27592 WILLOW SPRING1,3886
27518 CARY1,15616
27608 RALEIGH9203
27601 RALEIGH8947
27523 APEX7491
27571 ROLESVILLE7331
27605 RALEIGH62818
27562 NEW HILL2470

READ MORE: Why are COVID-19 confirmed cases so high in 27610?

Congregate living outbreaks, childcare and K-12 cluster updates:

Six weeks ago, Wake County had 33 active congregate living setting outbreaks, and that number gradually dropped.

This week, there are 8 announced active congregate living outbreaks in Wake County, according the Tuesday’s state report, Wake County Public Health announcements from the last month and state prison data.

The congregate living setting increases since the last available report:

  • Central Prison, +1 active cases, 9 active cases in total. 160 people have tested positive at the facility and 5 people died. (27606 RALEIGH)
  • Sunnybrook Rehabilitation Center is experiencing its third outbreak, Wake County announced Wednesday. (27610 RALEIGH)

There are 6 childcare and K-12 clusters as of Wednesday’s dashboard, down from 7 last week. 3 are K-12 settings and 3 are childcare settings.

New this week: La Petit Academy – Leesville, a childcare setting, 2 staff and 3 children with linked cases.

Tuesday’s state report is the most recent full list.

Wake County continues to see higher clusters than other nearby or similarly sized counties. Neighboring Durham County has 1 childcare cluster and no K-12 clusters, Orange County has 1 childcare cluster and no K-12 clusters. Comparable-sized Mecklenburg County has 2 childcare clusters and no K-12 clusters.

About this project: Raleigh Convergence has analyzed confirmed cases count numbers in Wake County ZIP codes and congregate living outbreaks for more than 51 weeks, free for all to read. Consider supporting our work and future reporting projects if you’re able by becoming a member here.

Do you have questions about this ZIP code data or the analysis? Email editor@raleighconvergence.com

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Author: raleighconvergence

Sarah Day Owen Wiskirchen is the editor of Raleigh Convergence.

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